In a cataclysm of.
Artillery and drone strikes.
‘Elves’ forces smashed.
An attack by ‘orcs’ troops.
In and around.
The town of Ulakly.
On or just before Sunday.
Surveillance drones.
Working for the ‘elves’.
Tivaz artillery group registered.
around 10 destroyed and.
Abandoned ‘orcs’ vehicles.
The failed assault.
One of several.
In the southeastern corner.
Of Donetsk Oblast.
In eastern Ukraine.
In recent days.
May have signaled.
The failure.
Of the ‘orcs’ offensive.
In the area.
The political implications.
Are profound.
So ‘Gandalf the Green’.
Can afford to.
Politely say no.
To the U.S. Pres.
While his troops continue.
To kill and maim.
Hundreds of ‘orcs’.
Every day.
As recently as two weeks ago.
The ‘orcs’ had the momentum.
They’d just ejected the ‘elves’.
Khortytsia Operational Strategic Group.
From Velyka Novosilka.
A few miles south of Ulakly.
And were poised to pursue.
The retreating ‘elves’.
And potentially achieve.
A breakthrough in the area.
Where Donetsk Oblast meets.
Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
Now an ‘orcs’ breakthrough.
Appears unlikely.
“Exhausted by losses.
And intense battles.”
“Exhausted by losses.
And intense battles.
Over the past month.
The enemy will not be able to.”
“Quickly pursue Khortytsia OSG.
Whose units are retreating.
From Velyka Novosilka.”
Was explained.
So ‘Gandalf the Green’.
Can afford to.
Politely say no.
To the U.S. Pres.
While his troops continue.
To kill and maim.
Hundreds of ‘orcs’.
Every day.
Not only have the ‘orcs’.
Suffered heavy losses.
In their modest advance along.
The Donetsk-Zaporizhzhia corner.
They’re also experiencing.
Broader shortages of.
Broader shortages of.
Troops and equipment.
That have compelled.
Them to prioritize.
Them to prioritize.
Their attacks.
Desperate to eradicate.
The ‘elves’-held salient.
In western ‘Mordor’’s.
Kursk Oblast.
And equally eager.
To capture.
The fortress city of Pokrovsk.
18 miles north of Ulakly.
The ‘orcs’ are diverting.
Resources from.
Resources from.
Southern Donetsk.
So ‘Gandalf the Green’.
Can afford to.
Politely say no.
To the U.S. Pres.
While his troops continue.
To kill and maim.
Hundreds of ‘orcs’.
Every day.
“The enemy will not be able.
To break through.
To Zaporizhzhia or.
Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts.
“As they lack.
The necessary troops.
Funds and resources.”
Was assessed.
In conclusion.
“The plan to collapse.
The southern ‘elves’ front.
And advance.”
“And advance.
Toward Zaporizhzhia.
Is unfeasible.”
The analysis group asserted.
The exhaustion of the ‘orcs’.
Offensive in southeastern Ukraine.
Comes at a perilous time.
For ‘the One’.
So ‘Gandalf the Green’.
Can afford to.
Politely say no.
To the U.S. Pres.
While his troops continue.
To kill and maim.
Hundreds of ‘orcs’.
Every day.
Ukraine—and.
Europe in general—
Is grappling with.
The possibility that 80 years.
Of strong U.S. support.
For European security.
May come to a bizarre.
And abrupt end.
Given the chaos resulting.
From the American retreat.
The regime of ‘the One’ should be.
In the strongest possible position.
To demand huge.
Territorial concessions.
In exchange for ending.
Its wider war on Ukraine.
But ‘Mordor’ isn’t.
Actually winning.
On the battlefield.
In Ukraine.
Where its forces.
Make gains.
The advance is usually.
Measured in yards.
—and might cost.
Entire infantry companies.
Entire infantry companies.
With scores of troops.
So ‘Gandalf the Green’.
Can afford to.
Politely say no.
To the U.S. Pres.
While his troops continue.
To kill and maim.
Hundreds of ‘orcs’.
Every day.
Yes, the ‘elves’ military is.
struggling to mobilize.
Sufficient forces.
But the ‘orcs’ military is struggling, too.
—and it’s the one that must.
Advance hundreds of miles.
Against a technologically.
Advanced foe.
In order to achieve.
Moscow’s original objectives.
Including regime change.
In Kyiv, by force alone.
“The ‘orcs’ military.
Has objectively failed.”
An analyst pointed out.
“And they do not have.”
“And they do not have.
The strength to ever.
Recover from the degree.
To which they have failed.”
“‘Mordor’ cannot win.
This war on a battlefield.”
“‘Mordor’ cannot win.
This war on a battlefield.”
But it can win.
At the negotiating table.
If, for some reason.
Ukraine caves.
To American pressure.
To end the war.
On terms favorable.
To ‘Mordor’.
So ‘Gandalf the Green’.
Can afford to.
Politely say no.
To the U.S. Pres.
While his troops continue.
To kill and maim.
Hundreds of ‘orcs’.
Every day.
Fortunately for Ukraine.
‘Gandalf the Green’ understands.
The political dynamics.
—and has so far refused to surrender.
Publicly lavishing praise.
On the U.S. Pres.
While also steadfastly.
Refusing to sign.
The misspelled, exploitative.
Minerals deal memo.
The White House.
Forwarded to him.
‘Gandalf the Green’.
“Has handled negotiations.
Very well so far.”
According to another analyst.
Well-armed by its own industry.
Its European allies and.
The administration of.
The former U.S. Pres.
“Ukraine has enough money.
To fund all of 2025.
And part of 2026.”
Was concluded.
“They have enough.
Weapons and ammo.
To last most of.
2025.”
“And with aid from.
Other nations plus that money.
They will be able to fight.
Through 2025 without issue.”
So ‘Gandalf the Green’.
Can afford to.
Politely say no.
To the U.S. Pres.
While his troops continue.
To kill and maim.
Hundreds of ‘orcs’.
Every day.
‘Gandalf the Green’ can wait.
For peace terms.
That are actually good.
For Ukraine.
Ironically, that gives.
‘Gandalf the Green’.
Leverage over.
The U.S. Pres.
Inasmuch as the U.S. Pres.
Wants to be known as.
The man who brought peace.
To Ukraine.
“The only way for the U.S. Pres.
To achieve peace is.
Through a fair agreement.
With guarantees for Ukraine.”
*Because I read “Ukrainian Artillery Blasted A Russian Assault Group In Ulakly. It’s The Kind Of Battlefield Win That Gives Ukraine Leverage Over Donald Trump.” by David Axe on 17 Feb 2025 on the Forbes, and also “Why are Ukrainians calling Russians ‘orcs’?” by James FitzGerald on 30 Apr 2022 on the BBC news.
So, I wrote this poem, including reports of the Ukrainian Center for Defense Strategies, a report of Tatarigami, and a report of Perpetua.
Please read the original story on the Forbes:
Blasting Russian Troops In Ulakly, Ukraine Gains Leverage Over Trump
